Ball State vs Kent State 9/29/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Ball State winning 45% of simulations, and Kent State 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Ball State commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Kent State wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jahwan Edwards is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Trayion Durham is averaging 92 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KENT +2

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